ArbCalendar: events that shift moderation and traffic
ArbCalendar is a free event feed for affiliate marketers. It tracks scheduled, breaking and derived events — platform policy updates, conferences, elections, sports — interprets what each means for specific verticals and regions, and sends Telegram alerts days before the impact window opens.
Three classes of events
The feed is built around cause and effect, not a flat news list:
- Scheduled: known in advance — platform conferences (Google Marketing Live, Meta Connect), announced policy-update dates, elections, major sports events.
- Breaking: detected as it happens — sudden enforcement waves, ban clusters, regulatory actions.
- Derived: consequences chained to a parent event — an announcement becomes an enforcement wave; an election becomes stricter moderation. Derived events link to their parent, so you see what follows what.
Every card carries the primary source link, affected verticals and regions, impact direction (boost, throttle, neutral), a confidence label, and a recommended action window.
Where the feed comes from
Collectors parse official sources — the Google Ads, Meta for Business, TikTok for Business and Microsoft Ads blogs — plus industry press and niche Telegram channels. A cheap model structures each raw item; a stronger model writes the affiliate-specific read.
When the model isn't sure of the facts, it doesn't guess: the event goes to a research step first, and if research finds nothing it's published with low confidence and tagged as an assumption, not a fact.
How to plan with it
Filter the timeline by your verticals and regions and look at the next two to four weeks. If a moderation-tightening window is coming, that's the time to re-check your pages against the signals platforms actually review and to have appeals ready — not the time to launch fresh spend.
For hands-off tracking, create a Telegram subscription: pick verticals, regions and event classes, set a lead time up to 30 days, and the alert arrives before the window opens.
How it works
- Open the calendar and filter by your verticals, regions and event categories.
- Scan the timeline for your planning window; open any card for the source link and the recommended action window.
- Check derived events to see what follows from announcements you've already seen.
- Create a Telegram subscription with a 0–30 day lead time so alerts arrive before impact.
FAQ
Where do events come from?
Collectors parse official sources — Google Ads, Meta for Business, TikTok for Business and Microsoft Ads blogs — plus industry press and niche Telegram channels. Every event card links its primary source.
What is a "derived" event?
A consequence chained to a parent event: an announced policy update leads to an enforcement wave; an election leads to stricter moderation. Derived events link to the parent, so you see cause and effect, not isolated news.
How do Telegram alerts work?
You subscribe with your chat ID, pick verticals, regions and event classes, and set a lead time of 0–30 days. Breaking events can be toggled off. There's a test button to verify delivery.
Can I trust the impact reads?
Each read carries a confidence label. When the model isn't sure of the factual base, the event goes through research before publication; if research finds nothing, it's published as low confidence and tagged as an assumption, not a fact.
Does it cover my vertical?
Events are tagged across ten verticals — crypto, nutra, gambling, igaming, dating, finance, sweeps, ecommerce, mobile, other — and filtered per region.
See your next 30 days
Register, filter the calendar by your vertical, and set Telegram alerts before the next moderation wave.
Get started